Chicago at Miami

John Lackey isn't the same pitcher he used to be. He will give up some runs in this one. But his team will score enough I believe to win the game. The Cubs offense has been clicking of late, averaging 5.6 runs per game over their last seven games. Meanwhile, the Marlins have allowed a whopping 6.3 per game over that same span. There's also a big contrast in performance in night games between these two clubs. The Cubs are 23-18 at night while Miami is 20-28. Dating back to the 2015 season, the Cubs are 97-58 when lined in this range (-100 to -150). As a road favorite the past two seasons, Chicago is 58-36 to the OVER. Take the Cubs and the OVER.