Chicago at Kansas City

Kansas City will pitch Cole Ragans in the rubber game of the series and the Royals have won his past two starts while he has allowed four runs in 13 innings. Ragans gave up three runs on six hits in six innings in a 10-4 victory over Arizona on Monday. He has been especially effective in day games with a 1.96 ERA and a .178 opponent batting average. Kansas City has won Ragans' past five home starts against teams with losing records and Chicago is 0-5 on the road versus left-handed starters. The Cubs have lost five of Javier Assad's past six starts after they scored at least five runs their previous game and they have lost three of his past four starts overall. The Cubs are 57-44 UNDER and the Royals are 59-42 UNDER in 2024. The UNDER is 8-1 when Assad starts Game 3 of a series and the UNDER is 14-2 when Ragans starts against teams that scored at least five runs their previous game. Take the Royals and the UNDER.