Chicago at Cleveland

Jon Lester has been great in the postseason, but this will be the best offensive team he's faced. The Cleveland Indians' offense finished fifth in baseball in runs scored, eighth in on-base percentage and ninth in slugging. The Indians are 57-28 at home this season, including a current 45-16 run. Lester has a 1.74 ERA at Wrigley Field this season, but it jumps to 3.17 on the road. Opponents hit .183 on him at home, .240 on the road. The Cubs are just 17-36 in interleague road games against a team with a winning record and they face a strong all-around and rested home team. The Indians have their ace going in Corey Kluber, at 2-1 with 0.98 ERA in the playoffs, plus bullpen ace Andrew Miller rested. Cleveland is 41-19 when Kluber starts at home and they've won all four postseason home games by a 15-8 count. The Indians are also 12-2 in interleague games, plus 30-14 against a left-handed starter. They have more than enough offense behind their ace to win or lose by just one run. Play Cleveland on the runline in Game 1.