Chicago at Cincinnati

The Chicago Cubs are 3-3 the last six games, losing twice as chalk, including as a -225 favorite. Chicago can hit home runs but they don't score a lot of runs at #17 in runs scored and #14 in on-base percentage. Cubs first baseman Anthony Rizzo is 1-for-22 over the last six games and is hitless in 14 career at-bats against Reds starter Anthony DeSclafani (3.91 ERA). DeSclafani has a 2.67 ERA in five career starts against the Cubs. The Reds are also 5-2 when DeSclafani faces the NL Central. Meanwhile Chicago is 1-3 in the last four starts made by Jon Lester (10-12), who has a .500 road for the year. Lester lost his last two starts, pivotal contests against fellow NL playoff teams St. Louis and Pittsburgh. The Cubs are 0-4 in Lester's last four starts with four days of rest and he's struggled against the Reds this season with a 4.74 ERA in 19 innings. Play the Reds.