Chicago at Cincinnati

Aaron Harang is a good pitcher on a bad team. He went on one of the biggest runs a pitcher will ever go on last season as the Reds were 14-1 during a 15 game stretch when he took the ball. The problem is, the Reds are still not a good team, and don't have the aces in the pen to finish when he pitches well. The end result is the Reds went 14-1 over that 15 game stretch, but over the last 3+ years they are otherwise 45-49 when he starts. This year they are 3-4 and the pen is allowing 1.7rpg after he leaves. Zambrano has allowed 2 runs or less in six of his seven starts. The Cubs are the better team, and the Reds have already lost as many games as anyone in baseball. We'll ride Zambrano, supported by a better pen and better team.