Chicago at Cincinnati

Chicago's offense has erupted for 16 runs in the last two games, wins at Kansas City of 9-4 and 7-3. They're on a 12-8 run winning nine as underdogs of +111, +155, +155, +116, +170, +111, +100, +115, and +153. Starter Jameson Taillon is great at home (2.68 ERA) with his road ERA at 3.28. He's allowed 9 runs in his last three road games (17+ innings) and the bullpen is 19th in WHIP. The Cubs are on an 8-5-1 run OVER the total on the road. Cincinnati's offense is No.1 in the majors in steals while the defense is just 27th in fielding percentage. Starter Carson Spiers has a 3.94 ERA at home where batters are hitting .285 off him. The Reds are on an 8-5-1 run OVER the total at home. They're also on a 3-6 run losing four times as a favorite and are coming home from a six-game road trip after losing at Tampa Bay yesterday, 2-1, as chalk. Back the visitors in a high-scoring affair. Take Chicago + OVER the total.