Chicago at Cincinnati

Chicago's offense clicks at home but they have struggled all year on the road. The Cubs are on a 14-5-1 run UNDER the total, including 8-3 UNDER away from Wrigley Field. Cole Hamels (2.84 ERA) has allowed two or fewer runs in seven of his last 10 starts, on a 7-0 run UNDER when he pitches, as well as 8-3 UNDER when he faces losing teams. Cincinnati is #22 in runs scored, and is 18-7-1 UNDER the total when following an off day. Starter Alex Wood has allowed two runs in each of his two starts, a pair of 5-2 and 3-2 victories, and the Reds are 15-7-2 UNDER at home against winning teams. Play the UNDER.