This pick was released to clients on May 11, 2014 at 9:23AM ET.
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Chicago at Atlanta

May 11, 2014
img1:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

First-place Atlanta is over its slump, winning two in a row. That's what having the punchless Cubs in town can do! Chicago is 5-12 on the road and has scored a total of two runs in the two games in Atlanta. The Cubs are 17-35 against a team with a winning record and 7-21 in their last 28 games as a road underdog. Last place Chicago has no offense, 27th in runs scored and batting, 26th in on base percentage, and 28th in slugging. The Cubs are 3-14 in Edwin Jackson's last 17 starts and 16-47 against a right-handed starter. The Braves are 79-36 at home and love facing Chicago, with the Cubs 1-8 in the last nine meetings overall, plus 0-6 in the last six meetings in Atlanta. In addition, there won't be many runs scored. Atlanta is a great pitcher's park, and the UNDER is 21-10-2 in the Cubs last 33 road games, plus 21-9-2 UNDER as a road dog. Atlanta is on a 7-1 run UNDER the total and 12-2 UNDER the total at home. Aaron Harang goes for the Braves, who are 5-2 UNDER when he starts. The UNDER is 21-7-1 when the Braves are a home favorite, and when these teams meet, the UNDER is a perfect 4-0 in the last four meetings. Play the Braves and the Cubs/Braves UNDER the Total.

1.5 units on Atlanta -158 (moneyline) (risk 1.5 to return 2.44)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 7 +107 (risk 1.5 to return 3.11)
Result:
PUSH
FINAL
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consensus consensus
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