Boston at Washington

It has been a challenging year for Jon Lester, who looked like he was ready for a long career of winning big but has stumbled and taken a step back in '08. He is just 5-6 on the season and has pitched to a 4.69 ERA. More importantly, the Red Sox are 5-9 in his 14 starts if facing a -1.5 runline, as they are here. The Red Sox have also been 0-4 in his last four starts vs teams with a losing record. The Nats have played much better of late and have been 4-2 vs the AL East in their past six games and, while the Red Sox are mopping up at Fenway, they have proven to be vulnerable on the road. I'll go with the Nationals here on the runline.