Boston at Toronto

Toronto has won 7 of 10 vs. the Red Sox this season including 4-1 in Toronto and they now have a chance for the sweep. With the Sox starting a pitcher who has never pitched in the majors, I like the Jays to get the sweep. David Pauley gets the start thanks to David Wells' sore knee. Ted Lilly has pitched well at home (3.78 ERA) but has been a bit cold lately (6.57 ERA over his last three starts). But, home teams off two straight division wins starting a cold pitcher are 67-35 (66%) over the past decade. Toronto is scoring 6 runs per game at home batting .303! Their bullpen has been very solid here, too. Toronto here.