Boston at Toronto

The Boston Red Sox have surged forward since the All-Star break, and a 14-run barrage against Toronto last night was about as easy as it gets. It is hard to expect a repeat of last night's offensive explosion as the Red Sox have reached the 10-run mark just three times all season, and for the most part this team has struggled to score significant runs. The Blue Jays' offense has not been good over the past 3+ weeks, resulting in a 14-7 mark to the UNDER in their last 21 games, and more than half of those games have seen 7 runs or less scored in total. Toronto used a huge surge to move into first place in the AL East, but have since fallen back dramatically, having gone just 13-25 over their last 38 games. The Jays have scored 2 runs or less in 8 of their last 14 games. Jake Peavy allowed 1 run over 7 innings in an earlier appearance vs. Toronto this season. Boston is living the good life as a favorite from -110 to -150 where they have turned in a 32-15 mark in their last 47. The Jays are now 3-14 in their last 17 when facing an opponent that scored 5+ runs in their previous contest. Boston owns a 25-9-1 mark to the UNDER in their last 35 games when following a win, and the Jays are now 16-2 to the UNDER in Happ's last 18 starts at home. Go with Boston and the UNDER in this one.