Boston at Toronto

There is a known and an unknown about Clay Buchholz, who will get the ball for the Red Sox tonight. He has great stuff and displayed it well in '07 when he threw a no-hitter in his second career start. He seemed to be a cinch top of the rotation starter, but in '08 he pitched to a 2-9 record with a 6.75 ERA. He has some great numbers at AAA Pawtucket, but he had virtually equal numbers last year and was hit hard at the big league level. So he has failed more than succeeded here. Ricky Romero has succeeded when he has gotten the ball for the Jays. He has pitched to a 2.37 ERA since June 1, covering eight starts with the Jays posting a 6-2 mark in the process. This is basically even odds with one known quantity against another that is unknown, so I'll back the Jays here.