This pick was released to clients on July 02, 2023 at 12:00PM ET.
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Boston at Toronto

July 2, 2023
img1:37 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Boston hung on for a 7-6 win yesterday but has still lost seven of 10. The pitching is 20th in ERA (4.40), 16th in the pen (3.97 ERA), and 17th in bullpen WHIP, while the shoddy defense is 29th in fielding percentage. Garrett Whitlock has a 5.27 ERA on the road with batters hitting over .300 off him. The Red Sox are 17-35 on the road against winning teams, as well as 15-41 on astroturf. Toronto's offense is 13th in runs scored, ninth in on-base percentage, and 10th in slugging, while the pitching is 11th in ERA (3.94) and 10th in the bullpen (3.80). Kevin Gausman (3.01 ERA) has a 2.48 ERA at home where he sports a 78-to-12 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 54+ innings. Toronto plays its ninth consecutive home game here and the Red Sox are 10-24 after playing two or more straight road contests. Play Toronto.

1 unit on Toronto -186 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.54)
Result:
LOSS
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Toronto Blue Jays
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