Boston at Tampa Bay

The Boston offense is improving, up to 16th in baseball in runs scored, 10th in OBP, moving toward their expensive potential. The Rays were constructed on the cheap and rank 25th in runs scored, 20th in slugging and on-base percentage. The Rays are just 2-3 on their 10-game homestand and 2-5 as a favorite of -151 to -200. Tampa Bay goes with Chris Archer, who is 1-5 in eight career starts versus the patient Red Sox. You need to keep the ball down low in a small park like Tampa has, and Boston goes with sinkerball specialist Justin Masterson. The Rays are 1-4 against a right-handed starter while the Red Sox are 5-0 in their last five games following a loss. Boston has a winning record the last nine games, and Tampa Bay is 2-5 when Archer faces the Red Sox. Play the Red Sox.