Boston at Tampa Bay

Jon Lester appeared back on track for Boston after suffering through a dismal 2012 season. He was off to the races delivering five Boston wins in his first five starts. Things have started to take on the look of 2012, as Lester's last eight starts have seen his ERA expand to 4.39. Those numbers jump to 0-2 with a 5.68 ERA in his last four starts, so he is no doubt struggling. Hernandez has respectable numbers vs. Boston with a career 3.63 ERA against them. Boston enters with a poor 7-20 mark in their last 27 on the road vs. a winning team, and just 9-20 with Lester on the hill vs. a winning team in his last 29 starts against them. The Rays come in a potent 11-2 in their last 13 at home vs. a team over .600 on the road. Go with Tampa Bay.