Boston at Tampa Bay

The Tampa Bay Rays come home after a long road trip, but that isn't necessarily a good thing for this team, which has played much better on the road. The Rays have not hit well in Tampa, and in their last seven home games have produced just 17 runs, or slightly better than 2 per game. The pitching matchup really shows a predictive nature with what is expected here. Matsuzaka and Garza have combined to pitch UNDER when the total is set from 9-10.5 to a 47-20-6 mark, with Dice K at 24-11-3 and Garza at 23-9-3. The Rays, with their hitting deficiencies at home, have now gone eight straight in Tampa to the UNDER with a posted total of 9-10.5. I like the UNDER here.