This pick was released to clients on February 05, 2013 at 11:03AM ET.
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Boston at Tampa Bay

July 4, 2006
img4:15 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Scott Kazmir came through strong for the Devil Rays last night going deep and striking out 10 batters, allowing just two hits. That gave the D-Rays a big underdog win. Not twice in a row. Casey Fossum is not Scott Kazmir. And, Tampa must face Curt Schilling who is 10-2 on the season. The Red Sox are 13-1 this season as a favorite with him on the mound. Boston is struggling a bit offensively but in the Francona era, the Red Sox are 15-2 in games following a five-game span of hitting .225 or worse. Tampa Bay scores just 4.3 per game at home and 4.0 vs. right handers. Their bullpen has a 5.97 ERA at home. Home underdogs of +125 or more with a poor bullpen whose WHIP is 1.550 or worse on the season that has been uncharacteristically hot of late (ERA under 3.00 the last 10 games) are just 21-66 (24%) over the past decade.

2 units on Boston -210 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 2.95)
Result:
LOSS
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