Boston at Seattle

The Boston Red Sox have split their first two games in Seattle, and will send Kutter Crawford to the mound in game three. The Red Sox have a lot of expectations from Crawford, even though he is just 13-23 in his young career. A closer look shows in those 36 games the Sox are out-scoring their opponent, so it is more bad luck than bad pitching that has led to a 13-23 mark. The Mariners counter with Logan Gilbert who has a nifty 54-34 career mark, but in his three starts vs. Boston each team has produced an identical amount of runs, so the dog appears to have the edge here. Cora has seen his team play very well following a game in which the bullpen allowed 0 runs. They are 89-68 in their next game, good for +18.3 units. Make the play on Boston.