Boston at Seattle

Both of these teams struggle offensively. And both teams start aces in John Lackey and Felix Hernandez. Lackey is 8-4 with a 2.96 ERA. His last three starts have seen him give up just five earned runs in 23.7 innings pitched. Felix Hernandez owns an 8-2 mark with a 2.22 ERA. This promises to be a close, low-scoring game with either team having about an equal chance. We are going to back Boston at the plus-odds. Since last season, the Mariners are just 18-25 at home vs. AL teams that average 4.2 or fewer runs per game. Hernandez is 10-15 at home in his last 25 games vs. AL teams that average under 4.8 runs per game. And Seattle is 14-23 since last season as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range. Take the Red Sox.