Boston at New York

The Red Sox have to be encouraged by what they got from Dice-K Matsuzaka coming back from injury. He has worked 11.1 innings and allowed just three runs for a 2.38 ERA. His velocity is back and he certainly looks more like last year's pitcher than what we saw early this season. The Yankees CC Sabathia has pitched very well lately, but he is a career loser vs. the Sox. Sabathia is just 4-5 against Boston as the Red Sox lineup seems to bear down on tough pitchers as they are now 21-8 against a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. The Sox have an impressive record of their own with Matsuzaka on the mound winning 10 of his last 11 road starts against a team with a winning record and 17 of his last 21 road starts overall. Impressive numbers by Sabathia, but even more impressive numbers by the Sox, and getting chunky dog value as well. I’m going with the Red Sox here.