John Lackey has been pitching well for Boston of late. But, Jared Weaver is one of the best home pitchers in baseball. Period. Lackey has been great at home, but mediocre (2-4, 4.17 ERA) on the road. Weaver is 46-16 the past three seasons as a favorite, including 26-9 as a small favorite (-100 to -150)! He really steps it up vs. great competition. He is 16-3 the past three seasons vs. teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5+ runs per game. And Boston is just 34-61 the past couple of seasons vs. AL starting pitchers with an ERA of 4.00 or better. I like Weaver and the Angles in this one.
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