The Red Sox bullpen is battered and can't get anyone out. The Orioles are a joke on the road where they are 7-35 over their last 42, but a much more competitive team at home. The Birds are getting it done here, and over their last 14 on home turf, they would be 9-5 to a +1.5 runline. Boston is having fits trying to run down the Birds as the log shows them at just 2-4 in the six played this season, but in the six games the Sox have yet to have a winning margin of greater than a single run. I'll ride with Baltimore on the runline.
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