Baltimore at Toronto

Baltimore can manufacture runs, Top 10 in steals, which helps when on the road. The Orioles go with Kyle Bradish (5.01 ERA) with batters hitting .281 off him. He's struggled badly against Toronto this season with a 7.27 ERA in 17 innings allowing 35 base runners. The Blue Jays are hitting .356 off him. Toronto is 43-32 OVER the total against winning teams, plus 61-49 OVER versus a righty starter. The talented Toronto offense is Top 6 in runs scored and on-base percentage. Starter Jose Berrios (5.07 ERA) is on the mound and the OVER is 7-2-2 when these teams meet in this park. Play Baltimore/Toronto OVER the total.