Baltimore at Toronto

Baltimore is doing a lot of things right, sitting in first place in the tough AL East. Playing well on the road is one of them, a perfect 2-0 start as a dog of +165 and +150. Starter Brian Matusz had a rough opener, but a strong spring with a 22-3 strikeout-to-walk ratio. Baltimore is ranked No. 10 in runs scored, No. 11 in OBP and third in slugging. The Orioles are 6-2 in their last eight road games and 6-0 in their last six games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Toronto is struggling offensively, with a losing home record and an offense that is ranked No. 24 in on-base percentage, No. 22 in slugging and hitting .214 as a team (No. 26). Young starter Doug Drabek has a good ERA, but walked three in 5 innings in his only start and walks have been a big problem for him in his career. The Blue Jays are 1-4 in Drabek's last five starts against a team with a winning record. Play the Orioles.