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Baltimore at Tampa Bay

September 5, 2007
img7:10 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Tampa Bay's been on quite a run having won nine of thirteen. But, can they keep this up? They have been scoring like crazy which has covered up the fact that they have allowed 6+ runs in five of their last eight games. They start Andy Sonnanstine tonight who is 4-9 on the year including 1-5 at home with a 6.51 ERA. Backking him up is a bullpen with a 6.17 ERA. At home on the season, the D-Rays score just 4.5 runs per game while Baltimore averages 4.7 on the road. The Orioles feast on bad defensive teams. They are 34-15 the past three seasons vs. AL opponents that allow 5.7+ runs per game (Tampa Bay gives up 5.9 per game on average and 6.2 per game vs. division foes). Baltimore owns a winning record vs. division opponents this season and we like the odds here against a horrible team that is due to come back down to earth.

3 units on Baltimore +134 (moneyline) (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
LOSS
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Baltimore Orioles
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2
Tampa Bay Rays
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17
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