Baltimore at Tampa Bay

Baltimore has survived a 20+ game stretch where they allowed five runs or more, and have crept back into contention for a possible Wild Card bid. They are catching Tampa Bay with a cold offense. The Rays have won just one of their last six, and since the 4th of July are producing a woeful 3.25 runs per contest. Alex Cobb opened a promising career with the Rays, going 33-23 in his first 56 starts, but is just 24-28 since. Baltimore has dominated the Rays over the last 26 meetings as they are 17-9, and have scored 5.23 runs per game against them over that period. The numbers show 4-8 vs the O's at home over the same period with the visitor scoring 5.42 runs a contest. We have a slumping offense in a bad spot, so make the play on Baltimore.