Baltimore at Tampa Bay

The Tampa Bay Rays are becoming nearly automatic at home, while the Birds continue their road woes, especially against lefthand pitching where the Birds are just 62-132 in their last 194 on the road and overall, are just 19-50. The Birds are also just 9-44 in their last 53 on the road with a moneyline of +201 or higher, indicating they win about one in five, where we are laying less than one in three here. The O's are also just 1-10 in Berken's last 11 starts as a dog. The Rays 96-39 in their last 135 home games overall. The Orioles have been bombing out in Tampa Bay as they are just 1-8 in their last nine. This looks chalky, but reality says this is more like a five-to-one game, so I will go with the Rays here.