Baltimore at Tampa Bay

You have to like the pitching matchup in this one. There is no doubt Cabrera has better stuff than Hammel, and to add to the equation their history against each other is polar opposite. Cabrera has never lost to the Rays, standing at 6-0, while Hammel is 0-3 vs Baltimore with a lofty 8.84 ERA. Hammel has won just three games in the big leagues, pitching to a 6+ ERA last season and lost his start already this season. His career record is 3-12. It's hard to back a pitcher that has won just 20% of his major league decisions as a favorite facing a pitcher that has been perfect going against him. We see value on the Orioles here.