Baltimore at Seattle

The Baltimore Orioles have been a struggling team and have won just three of their last 10 games. Seattle sends their best pitching option to the hill tonight in Felix Hernandez. That makes the O's look like a bad choice here, but here’s the situation: good teams over .500 that have lost seven or more out of their last 10 on the road as a dog have performed very well. That is especially true vs. a team under .500, as the line value has produced a 22.5% ROI over the last 85 games in this situation. Seattle is hitting below .200 as a team at home so runs should be hard to come by, and the M's are just 28-64 in their last 92 vs. a lefthander, including just 14-38 at home. Play on Baltimore.