Baltimore at Philadelphia

Baltimore did it for us last game as a dog so why not again? Despite posting a very good 21-17 road mark, the Phillies are just 10-20 at home this season. They are just 1-7 during June at home and on the season they are 5-15 at home vs. RHP! Jeremy Guthrie hasn't pitched well this season but Philadelphia has shown that they can't keep any opponent down enough to make up for whatever runs they score. Over their last seven games they have given up 7.6 runs per game. In interleague play, the Phillies are just 3-8, allowing 6.3 runs per game. Meanwhile the Orioles ahve gone 6-1 in their last seven, scoring 6.9 runs per game. Cole Hamels is good, but this price is just too juicy to pass up given how these teams have been playing.