Baltimore at New York

New York is a tough park to pitch in and James Paxton makes his debut for the Yankees. Last year Paxton had a 3.32 ERA in pitcher-friendly Seattle, but it jumped nearly a run (4.24) away from Seattle. Paxton gave up four runs in five innings while losing his only prior Yankee Stadium start. The Yankees are 5-11 after scoring five runs or more in their previous game, plus 4-10 when their opponent scores two runs or less the last contest. Baltimore has a talented arm going in Nate Karns, with 152 strikeouts in 139+ innings over his last two seasons in the majors. He is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA in five career starts against the Yankees. New York is also 8-21 after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. Play Baltimore.