Baltimore at New York

Yankee Stadium is a small, home run happy park and a pair of teams with plenty of offensive punch square off. Baltimore has won two in a row scoring 12 runs, but the pitching is thin on depth and talent, #20 in team ERA. Chris Tillman (9.00 ERA) goes here after a poor outing at Houston to open the season, allowing seven hits and four walks in four innings. Last season he went 1-7 with a 7.84 ERA as batters hit .324 off him. The Orioles are 9-2-1 OVER the total following a win. The loaded NY Yankees' offense is sixth in baseball in runs scored. Starter Sonny Gray doesn't like this park, with a 5.30 ERA in six starts in the Bronx. And the OVER is 21-5 in the last 26 meetings between these division rivals, including 15-3 in this park. Play the OVER.