Baltimore at Minnesota

Zach Britton was pitching much worse than he was capable of, and was finally put on the DL with a shoulder strain. He is heeled and ready to show his upside, while remaining under the radar due to his ugly work before the arm strain was revealed. Carl Pavano, after surprising the Twins with 17 wins a year ago, has managed just six this season, pitching to an ERA almost a full run higher. The Twins have fared just as poorly, even at home, where they are just 2-6 in Pavano's last eight home starts. Pavano lost to the Birds 11-0 back in April, and Baltimore is 12-5 in their last 17 vs. bad teams with a winning percentage from .380 to .460. Back Baltimore in this one.