Baltimore at Kansas City

Baltimore won a rare one on the road last night but tongiht they will struggle to do the same. Rodrigo Lopez hason't won on the road in two months. He's 1-6 away from home with a 7.85 ERA! Jimmy Gobble hasn't fared much better but he's not as bd as Lopez on the road. And, KC is decent at home. Baltimore has only won 15 of their last 45 road games and again they face another lefty - which they have trouble hitting. Gobble is actually 11-2 the last three seasons in expected high-scoring games (total 10+). Home teams at +125 to -125 starting a pitcher whose WHIP is 1.800 or worse after a game where the bullpen gave up no runs are 37-15 (71%) over the past decade. KC at home for even money is a very good value again.