Baltimore at Kansas City

Great opportunity to back KC at home here. I look at KC at home as they are a bit underrated here. While horrible on the road, at home they are just under .500 and they score 5.4 runs per game (vs. about 4 per game away from home). And, we get a bad road team in this one. Baltimore is 18-30 on the road where they score 4.3 per game. They are 5-16 on the road at +125 to -125. And, they struggle against left handed pitchers (10-24 on the season scoring 4.1 per game). KC starts a good lefty here in Mark Redman. On such a bad team, it's significant that he's got a winning record (6-5 overall and 4-2 at home). Facing him is Kris Benson who is 0-4 with a 7.04 ERA in July. So we have a decent home team that scores 5.4 runs per game with a solid winning starting pitcher vs. a bad road team that scors 4.3 per game on the road and 4.1 vs. lefties with a struggling starter. Take the home dog here.