Baltimore at Cleveland

My big dog of the day comes here as Cleveland is instilled as a heavy favorite despite having lost three of their last four games. They've been hitting very well but it isn't helping them. Over their past ten games the Indians have scored 7.4 uns per game. Think they would be 10-0 or close to it with that kind of offense but they are actually just 5-5! Cleveland is now 0-7 at home after batting .315 or better over their past ten games this season and last. As bad as Rodrigo Lopez has pitched, he's still got a winning record vs. high scoring teams that put up 5.2+ runs per game. Cleveland plays down to their competition as they are 17-21 this season vs. losing teams. Going out on a limb here but with this line I see value on the O's.