Baltimore at Cleveland

It's the end of a seven-game road trek for Baltimore. They've lost three out of four, including two as favorites of -110 and -150. They're also just 6-8 over the last 14 contests losing six times as chalk. Kyle Gibson (5.00 ERA) is on the mound and he has a 4.76 ERA versus Cleveland this season. Cleveland is on a 6-5 run winning four times as an underdog. Starter Triston McKenzie is holding batters to a .211 average in 10 innings this season. Last year, he had a 2.96 ERA in 191+ innings. The pitching staff is seventh in the majors in ERA (3.91) along with a Top 10 bullpen. Cleveland is 29-17 after a one-run loss, including 14-7 when revenging a one-run loss to the same opponent. They're also 53-32 after scoring one run or fewer in the last game, so back home field. Play Cleveland.