Baltimore is 5-5 the last 10 games, including a pair of shutout losses the last two, both to the Red Sox. In those five defeats they were favored four times. In addition, Orioles CF Adam Jones (back spasms) has missed five straight games. Boston has a patient offense, fourth in baseball in runs scored and seventh in slugging. Ubaldo Jimenez goes for the Orioles with a propensity for walking batters, allowing eight free passes the last two starts (11 innings). He has a losing record on the road with a 4.58 ERA, walking 44 in 96 road innings. He has a 4.61 ERA against the Red Sox this season and is 2-3 with a 5.88 ERA against them the last four years. The Orioles are 2-5 away vs. a team with a losing record, as well as 5-11 against a left-handed starter. Boston southpaw Henry Owens has good stuff with a great changeup and shut down the Orioles two starts ago on the road, no runs in 7+ innings with no walks, just six hits allowed. And the Red Sox are 5-2 at home against a right-handed starter. Play the Red Sox.
This pick was released to clients on September 27, 2015 at 9:19AM ET.
MLB
Baltimore at Boston
September 27, 2015
1:35 PM Eastern
1 unit on Boston -101 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.99)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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