Baltimore at Boston

The Boston Red Sox were World Champions a year ago, but what a difference a year makes. The offense that produced 5.2 runs a game a year ago has been replaced by one that scores 3.9 runs a game this season. The average score for a Boston game this season has been just 8.3 runs a game. Baltimore is close to owning the best record in baseball, and it isn't the offense, which produces just 4.4 runs a game. It is the pitching that has allowed a meager 3.8 runs a game. The Birds average score this season is just 8.2 runs per contest, so you can immediately see value on the low side of the total in this game. Baltimore has fared poorly offensively on the road vs. a right handed starter as they are 12-3 to the UNDER in their last 15 against them, and overall they own an 18-5 mark in their last 23 road games. Boston has been halted at home offensively as a dog where they are 19-7 in their last 26 here to the UNDER as a home dog. Make the play on the UNDER in this one.