Baltimore at Boston

The Red Sox have been a solid choice at home all season long as they have put together a 47-19 mark at Fenway. While Baltimore has been a solid .500+ team at home they have struggled when leaving the friendly confines of Camden Yards to the tune of a 30-44 mark. The task becomes monumental today as the face Diasuke Matsuzaka. The Sox have gone 20-4 in his 24 starts on the season, including nine of his last 10. The BoSox have also been lethal on sub .500 teams at Fenway where they have posted a 25-4 mark this season. Jeremy Guthrie may have given the O's a shot, but he has been scratched from this start, and the O's will use a committee of pitchers starting with Lance Cormier. Not a recipe to win at Fenway. The Red Sox on the runline is the play here.