This pick was released to clients on August 27, 2023 at 11:56AM ET.
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Baltimore at Boston

August 27, 2017
img1:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

This has been a rough weekend for a very good Boston team, who are now in bounce back mode. Baltimore has a losing road record (26-39) with pitching being the biggest reason why - #28 in team ERA (4.85). You can't trust Orioles' lefty Wade Miley (7-10, 5.11 ERA), who is still struggling with his control (76 walks in 132 innings). He has been worse on the road with a 5.43 ERA, and you don't want to walk batters in tiny Fenway Park. The Orioles are 10-24 on the road against a right-handed starter. Boston is 40-24 at Fenway, ninth in baseball in runs scored and on-base percentage, and fourth in pitching ERA. Starter Doug Fister is 4-2 against Baltimore and is coming off the best start of his career, a complete-game one-hitter at Cleveland on Monday. The Red Sox are on a 10-4 run at home and 39-18 here against a team with a losing record. Play Boston.

1 unit on Boston -153 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.65)
Result:
LOSS
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Boston Red Sox
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