Baltimore at Boston

After losing five straight games to Tampa Bay and Kansas City, the Red Sox are back as the go for the sweep of Baltimore. They have put up 17 runs the past two games and I love their chances at the sweep here. First of all they are playing Baltimore. In eleven games thus far between these two teams this season, Boston has won all but one game. The Red Sox start Jon Lester who is 3-1 with a 3.32 ERA at home this season. The Orioles are 21-35 on the road this year losing on average 4.3 to 6.0. Versus lefties like Lester, they are 12-28 scoring just 4.0 runs per game and over their last seven games they are averaging just 3.9 per game. Their bullpen is horrible (5.53 road ERA with 4-7 mark). Boston scores 5.7 per game at home, 5.8 per game vs. right handed starters and 6.0 vs. division opponents. They take care of business at home as they are 37-17 at home this year and 48-14 the past two seasons at home vs. losing teams including 33-4 vs. teams that are outscored by 0.5+ runs per game. They are also 18-3 this season at home following 2 straight wins. Daniel Cabrera is 1-4 with a 9.26 ERA vs. Boston. Love the Red Sox here.