Baltimore at Boston

An evenly matched game at Fenway between AL East these rivals, but Baltimore is a big dog. Baltimore has plenty of offense to score in Fenway Park, sixth in batting average, and a fine bullpen. Their pitching staff is one of the best in baseball at not allowing free passes, which is essential in Fenway and against a patient Boston offense that loves to draw walks. The Orioles are 4-1 as an underdog and 4-0 against righties. The O's face a shaky righty in 32-year old Jake Peavy, who has walked 10 in 19+ innings. The team is 1-2 in his starts this season and 1-4 in his last five starts. Last place Boston's offense has really fallen off, 25th in runs scored, 26th in slugging, hitting into too many double plays, with no clutch hitting. The Orioles are 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record and 15-7 in the last 22 meetings in Fenway Park. Play the Orioles.