Atlanta at Washington

Can't trust Atlanta rookie Tyrell Jenkins, who continues to average more walks per nine innings (5.9) than strikeouts (4.4). He has 27 walks in 41 innings, a terrible ratio. On the road he has a 4.71 ERA while allowing 20 hits and 13 walks in 21 innings. The Braves are on a 32-65 run on the road, ranked #30 in baseball in runs scored, #24 in on-base percentage, and last in slugging. They face a Washington team that has it all, on a 7-3 run while ranked in the Top 11 offensively in runs, OBP, and slugging. The Nationals are 20-8 against the NL East. Washington righty Tanner Roark (12-6, 2.88 ERA) ranks fourth in the NL in wins, seventh in WAR for pitchers (3.7), and 10th in ERA. Roark beat the Braves with seven shutout innings earlier this season and is 4-1 with a 1.78 ERA in 13 career appearances (eight starts) against Atlanta. The Braves are 5-21 against the Nationals, including 6-20 in the last 26 meetings in Washington, so grab the talented home team. Play Washington.