Atlanta at Washington

The Braves have dropped three straight and four of six and put a turnaround in the hands of a rookie. Meanwhile the Nats have won four of five. Atlanta is averaging only 4.1 runs per game on the road where they are 4-10 thus far. Washington's offense has been very weak but is improving (4.4 per game over their last seven). The Braves are amazingly just 7-13 the past two seasons vs. teams at .380 or worse. They are also 73-78 as a favorite of -100 to -150 the past three seasons. They are also 1-8 this season on the road to a line of -125 to +125. Meanwhile, Washington is 41-31 vs. losing teams ovver that span. We like the Nats at home.