Atlanta at Tampa Bay

We were on the D-Rays yesterday and we're back on them today. These picks are not so much about taking Tampa Bay as they are about fading the Braves. Atlanta has now lost 11 of 12 and 19 of 22! Rookie Chuck James gets the honors this afternoon for Atlanta and he'll be facing Mark Hendrickson (3.75 ERA). With Maddon at the helm, the D-Rays are an amazing 18-3 as a favorite of -110 or higher and Rays are 9-2 this season vs. teams that allow 4.8+ runs per game. Over the last five seasons, home favorites batting .265 or worse after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games are 132-54 (71%). And, road underdogs allowing 4.8 or more runs per game after scoring and allowing 4 runs or less last 3 games are just 13-51 (20%) over the past decade. Atlanta just can't score right now and I'm fading them again this afternoon.