Atlanta at Minnesota

Rumor has it that Johan Santana is pitching through elbow problems and refuses to miss a spot in the rotation. His velocity has been down the last couple starts and so has his strikeouts. He will face Tim Hudson, who after a Cy Young-type start, has pitched poorly. The Twins were tough to beat at home last season, but since sweeping their first home series, they have gone just 15-16, and don't appear to be the same team. The Twins have already lost more Santana home starts than they did the prior two seasons and they are just 3-6 in his last 9 starts. Hudson is capable of out pitching Santana and this line is just way to high under the circumstances. The Twins are -10 units in their last 31 home games and have been over-priced all year. We like the Braves to beat an ailing Santana.