Atlanta at Milwaukee

Atlanta has a strong offense and heads to Milwaukee, an easy home run park. Atlanta is sixth in baseball in runs scored and on-base percentage, and seventh in slugging. The Braves start young Max Fried, who has walked 10 in 17+ innings and Atlanta relievers have a 4.21 ERA. The Braves are on a 9-4-1 run OVER the total, including 12-4 OVER on the road. Milwaukee finished a three-game sweep of Minnesota on Wednesday and has homered in 10 consecutive games, giving the Brewers 111 longballs on the season (second in the NL). Starter Jhoulys Chacin has walked 43 in 97 innings, a poor ratio, and comes off a pair of losses to the Reds (12-3) and Cards (8-2). He's walked 20 batters in 39 innings at home with 37 hits allowed. Take the OVER.