Atlanta at Miami

Atlanta is 2-2 on this road trip, losing at Cincinnati as a -140 favorite (6-5) and yesterday to the Marlins (4-3) as -220 chalk. Atlanta's offense is 16th in runs scored, 19th in on-base percentage, and last in steals. They've also lost four of their last six. The Braves are a huge road favorite but just 3-8 in the last 11 starts made by Max Fried. Miami plays its fifth consecutive home contest with an offense that is 13th in steals. The Marlins are 5-6 the last 11 times they've been an underdog of +200 or higher. They've also won three of the last four meetings with Atlanta, cashing as underdogs of +200, +205, and +180. Play Miami.