Atlanta at Houston

It looks like these teams are upside down from expectations, with the lowly Astros at 3-1 and the Braves come in at 0-4, but are still prohibitive favorites. Sometimes a new slate and a good start will have a team believing that they are better than they are, and that is the case with the Astros who are producing over 5 runs per game. The Braves aren't just 0-4, they are an ugly 0-4, and have been doubled-up in the run column at 20-10. The Braves are really struggling at the plate with a team average of just .151 and it is hard to win games if your hitting is in the freezer. The Braves are 0-8 after a loss now, and aren’t in their sweet spot when playing to low totals as they are 6-20 playing to a total of 7 to 8.5 in their last 26. Play on Houston.